The Federal Reserve has battled a variety of economic troubles over the past 35 years. Between tech busts, a financial crisis ...
Federal Reserve Governor Stephen Miran said the US central bank risks sparking a recession unless it continues lowering ...
Wall Street veteran Jim Paulsen says the accompanying chart highlights the potential for new leadership in the stock market. It shows the New York Fed recession probability index (red line), which ...
Whatever probability you put on recession a few weeks ago, it should be lower now that the Federal Reserve has cut interest rates. The cut was just a quarter percentage point, to a range of 4% to 4.25 ...
The Fed's Beige Book suggests that 18% of US population lives in the Fed districts report growth, which is consistent with a recession. The bubble in the S&P500 continues to inflate, led by Mag 7 and ...
Société Générale strategist Albert Edwards recently shared a few charts that he finds concerning. Investors seem confident in the US economy's resilience for now as the Fed lowers rates. But labor ...
Forbes contributors publish independent expert analyses and insights. I write about investing, markets and Berkshire Hathaway. Following the Federal Reserve rate cut last Wednesday, the S&P 500 closed ...
Yield curve inversions have historically preceded recessions, but not all inversions guarantee a downturn; context and economic conditions matter. Watching long-term/short-term yield patterns after an ...
The Federal Reserve may have more at stake than economic growth as policymakers prepare to meet on rates this coming week. In an interview with CNBC on Thursday, Moody’s Analytics chief economist Mark ...
The Federal Reserve on Sept. 17, 2025, cut its target interest rate as it shifts focus from fighting inflation to supporting the choppy labor market. As financial markets expected, the Fed lowered ...